{"id":62531,"date":"2019-02-15T10:38:51","date_gmt":"2019-02-15T15:38:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=62531"},"modified":"2019-02-15T10:38:51","modified_gmt":"2019-02-15T15:38:51","slug":"tariffs-a-challenging-balancing-act-for-growers-and-crop-protection-suppliers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/tariffs-a-challenging-balancing-act-for-growers-and-crop-protection-suppliers\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5173\u7a0e\uff1a\u5bf9\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u548c\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u800c\u8a00\u5177\u6709\u6311\u6218\u6027\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u968f\u7740\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f81\u6536\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a8\u8fdb\uff0c\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u8d70\u94a2\u4e1d\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6211\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u519c\u6c11\uff08\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\uff09\u540c\u610f\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u65f6\u5019\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u4e2d\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u73af\u5883\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u67d0\u79cd\u8c05\u89e3\u6240\u9700\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8d8a\u957f\uff0c\u5bf9\u519c\u4e1a\u7efc\u5408\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u5ef6\u8fdf\u507f\u8fd8\u8d37\u6b3e\u5230\u51cf\u5c11\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u6295\u5165\u7b49\u65b9\u65b9\u9762\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65f7\u65e5\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u6218\u4f1a\u7ed9\u519c\u4e1a\u7efc\u5408\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e26\u6765\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u75db\u82e6\u3002\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u505a\u4ed6\u4eec\u8981\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5f53\u6709\u6570\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u4f18\u52bf\u65f6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c31\u5e95\u7ebf\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e00\u4e9b\u76f8\u5f53\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5927\u8c46\u548c\u7389\u7c73<\/h2>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u662f\u5927\u8c46\u548c\u7389\u7c73\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nass.usda.gov\/Newsroom\/2018\/06-29-2018.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8 2018 \u5e74\u7edf\u8ba1<\/a>\uff0c\u8fd9\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u5927\u7ea6 9000 \u4e07\u82f1\u4ea9\u7684\u5927\u8c46\u548c 8900 \u4e07\u82f1\u4ea9\u7684\u7389\u7c73\u519c\u4e1a\u2014\u2014\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6700\u5927\u4efd\u989d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u8c46\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u5927\u7ea6\u4e00\u534a\u7528\u4e8e\u51fa\u53e3\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u534a\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u5927\u8c46\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5ba2\u6237\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u7389\u7c73\u7684\u5c0f\u5f97\u591a\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4f0a\u5229\u8bfa\u4f0a\u5927\u5b66\u519c\u4e1a\u653f\u7b56\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u76f4\u5230 2011 \u5e74\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u5927\u91cf\u8fdb\u53e3\u7389\u7c73\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u4e3a 520 \u4e07\u5428\u3002\u4ece\u90a3\u65f6\u8d77\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ea\u6709 380 \u4e07\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6839\u636e\u65b0\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd-\u58a8\u897f\u54e5-\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u534f\u8bae (USMCA)\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u7389\u7c73\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u8c46\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u627f\u62c5\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u518d\u50cf\u4ee5\u524d\u90a3\u6837\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5f88\u5feb\u6536\u590d\u5931\u5730\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u73b0\u6210\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u2014\u2014\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u80af\u5b9a\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u5927\u8c46\u586b\u8865\u7a7a\u767d\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8def\u900f\u793e\u5728 2018 \u5e74 12 \u6708\u62a5\u9053\uff08\u6839\u636e\u6d77\u5173\u603b\u7f72\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff09\uff0c\u4ec5\u5728 2018 \u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c31\u4ece\u5df4\u897f\u8d2d\u4e70\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc7 500 \u4e07\u5428\u5927\u8c46\u2014\u2014\u51e0\u4e4e\u662f\u5176 276 \u4e07\u5428\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u4ec5\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u4ece\u8be5\u56fd\u8d2d\u4e70\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u9762\u4e34\u4e2d\u56fd\u51cf\u5c11\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d2d\u4e70\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u586b\u8865\u51fa\u53e3\u7f3a\u53e3\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5927\u8c46\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u4ece\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u4e2d\u8d5a\u53d6\u7684\u6536\u5165\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u7acb\u5373\u4ece\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u94b1\u5305\u4e2d\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u591a\u5c11\u8fd8\u6709\u5f85\u786e\u5b9a\u3002\u4f0a\u5229\u8bfa\u4f0a\u5927\u5b66\u518d\u6b21\u63f4\u5f15\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u79f0\uff0c\u5927\u8c46\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u4ece\u6bcf\u84b2\u5f0f\u8033 $2.50 \u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3 2018 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u7684 $7.84\uff0c\u4ece $10.34 \u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7b49\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u79cd\u690d\u8005\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u51cf\u5c11\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5355\u5b63\u5229\u6da6\u635f\u5931\u9ad8\u8fbe $300,000\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u4f4e\u8ff7\u635f\u5bb3\u4e86\u519c\u6c11\u507f\u8fd8\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002 2018 \u5e74\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u507f\u8fd8\u901f\u5ea6\u5df2\u7ecf\u653e\u7f13\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/research.stlouisfed.org\/publications\/regional\/ag-finance\/2018\/08\/09\/2018-second-quarter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6839\u636e\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c<\/a>\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5927\u591a\u6570\u94f6\u884c\u5bb6\u7684\u62a5\u544a\uff0c2018 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u507f\u8fd8\u7387\u76f8\u6bd4\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5bf9\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/h2>\n<p>\u4ece\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u611f\u5230\u538b\u529b\u3002\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e0d\u5411\u5927\u8c46\u519c\u6c11\u9500\u552e\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u4efb\u4f55\u5c06\u5927\u8c46\u519c\u6c11\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6838\u5fc3\u5ba2\u6237\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e0d\u4ec5\u73b0\u5728\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e5f\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\uff0c\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ece\u63d0\u4f9b\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u6295\u5165\u54c1\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u90a3\u91cc\u770b\u5230\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8eb2\u8fc7\u8fd9\u9897\u5b50\u5f39\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u5c06\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5df2\u7ecf\u7b7e\u8ba2\u5408\u540c\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u90a3\u4e9b\u6709\u5148\u89c1\u4e4b\u660e\u5c06\u751f\u4ea7\u591a\u6837\u5316\u3001\u4ece\u5173\u7a0e\u533a\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u5730\u533a\u91c7\u8d2d\u6750\u6599\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u53d7\u5173\u7a0e\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\uff09\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u7ed9\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u548c\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u7684\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u8d2d\u4e70\u8f83\u5c11\u7684\u4ed6\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u63a5\u53d7\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u91cf\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002\u5176\u4f59\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6c42\u52a9\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u5316\u5b66\u516c\u53f8\u8fdb\u884c\u4f5c\u7269\u5904\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u575a\u6301\u5230\u5e95\u2014\u2014\u7ee7\u7eed\u524d\u8fdb<\/h2>\n<p>\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u73af\u5883\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\u5f97\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u5c06\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u90fd\u66f4\u52a0\u7e41\u8363\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6211\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u81f3\u5c11 18 \u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u4e0e\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u4e00\u8d77\u52aa\u529b\u5ea6\u8fc7\u96be\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5173\u4e8e\u8fd9\u9879\u5de5\u4f5c\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u5b50\uff0c\u610f\u89c1\u4e0d\u4e00\u3002\u65e9\u5728 2018 \u5e74\u79cb\u5929\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u573a\u5c40\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u5c31 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fb.org\/news\/farm-bureau-details-trade-tariff-impacts-on-agriculture\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5411\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u519c\u4e1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u58f0\u660e<\/a>\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u201c\u4e3a\u4e86\u519c\u4e1a\u7684\u589e\u957f\u548c\u91cd\u65b0\u7e41\u8363\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u519c\u4e1a\u6536\u5165\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u4fdd\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e76\u786e\u4fdd\u519c\u4e1a\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u65b0\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf\u4e0a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u597d\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u4ea4\u6613\u53ef\u80fd\u5f00\u59cb\u81ea\u6211\u8c03\u6574\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u5728\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u4e3e\u884c\u7684 G20 \u7ecf\u6d4e\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u521d\u6b65\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/asia\/report-u-s-farmers-still-planning-fewer-soybeans-in-2019-despite-promise-of-china-trade-deal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u591a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u8c46<\/a>\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\u8fd8\u6709\u5f85\u8861\u91cf\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u5bf9\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5927\u7c73\u655e\u5f00\u5927\u95e8 \u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5927\u7c73\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u7c73\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u6211\u4eec\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u51b7\u6de1\u5173\u7cfb\u53ef\u80fd\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u89e3\u51bb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u64b0\u5199\u672c\u6587\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u4e8e 2 \u6708 27 \u65e5\u81f3 28 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