{"id":66293,"date":"2020-08-31T08:26:43","date_gmt":"2020-08-31T12:26:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=66293"},"modified":"2020-08-31T08:32:16","modified_gmt":"2020-08-31T12:32:16","slug":"how-trade-coronavirus-and-consumer-demand-will-shape-food-distribution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/how-trade-coronavirus-and-consumer-demand-will-shape-food-distribution\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8d38\u6613\u3001\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u98df\u54c1\u5206\u914d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u968f\u7740\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u519c\u4e1a\u5c06\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u6700\u660e\u663e\u548c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u540e\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u793e\u4f1a\u758f\u8fdc\u8feb\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u7a81\u7136\u8f6c\u5411\u5728\u5bb6\u5403\u996d\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u5916\u9762\u5403\u996d\u3002\u5305\u88c5\u5382\u548c\u519c\u573a\u5de5\u4eba\u4e2d\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u65c5\u884c\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7cae\u98df\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002\u5bf9\u67d0\u4e9b\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u4f9b\u5e94\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u66f4\u9ad8\u9700\u6c42\u5bfc\u81f4\u56e4\u8d27\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6742\u8d27\u5e97\u8d27\u67b6\u7a7a\u7a7a\u5982\u4e5f\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\u2014\u2014\u5bf9\u4f9b\u9700\u53cc\u65b9\u90fd\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u201d\u7ba1\u7406\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u5409\u59c6\u00b7\u5e03\u5179\u6069\u65af\u57fa (Jim Budzynski) \u8bf4\uff0c <a href=\"http:\/\/macrogain.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5b8f\u76c8\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34<\/a>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u98df\u7269\u5206\u914d\u53ef\u80fd\u6c38\u8fdc\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u5c06\u63ed\u793a\u77ed\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u957f\u671f\u9884\u671f\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u914d\u7535\u7f51\u7edc\u7f3a\u4e4f\u654f\u6377\u6027<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u524d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/tag\/coronavirus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5<\/a>\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5728\u5916\u51fa\u7528\u9910\u65f6\u82b1\u8d39\u4e86\u5927\u7ea6\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u9884\u7b97\uff0c\u5e76\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u81b3\u98df\u8425\u517b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u9910\u9986\u4ee5\u53ca\u5de5\u4f5c\u548c\u5b66\u6821\u98df\u5802\u7528\u9910\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Ernst &amp; Young LLP \u519c\u4e1a\u7efc\u5408\u4f01\u4e1a\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba Rob Dongoski \u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u5728\u4e00\u591c\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u8feb\u4f7f 50-50 \u4eba\u5206\u88c2\u6210\u8fd1 100% \u5728\u5bb6\u5403\u996d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c30 \u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u5916\u51fa\u5c31\u9910\u7684\u589e\u957f\u662f\u4ee5\u5728\u5bb6\u5c31\u9910\u4e3a\u4ee3\u4ef7\u7684\uff0c\u201dBudzynski \u8bf4\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684 10 \u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u663e\u793a\u5916\u51fa\u5c31\u9910\u4e00\u76f4\u9886\u5148\u3002 \u201c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u77ac\u95f4\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5728\u5bb6\u5c31\u9910\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800c 80%-plus \u7684\u9910\u5385\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e COVID-19\uff0c$3000 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9910\u996e\u670d\u52a1\u884c\u4e1a\u9500\u552e\u989d\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86 60% \u81f3 90%\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u9a6c\u514b\u00b7\u827e\u4f26 (Mark Allen) \u8868\u793a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifdaonline.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u56fd\u9645\u98df\u54c1\u670d\u52a1\u5206\u9500\u5546\u534f\u4f1a<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u9910\u5385\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u975e\u6742\u8d27\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u65e0\u6cd5\u7acb\u5373\u4ece\u98df\u54c1\u670d\u52a1\u8f6c\u5411\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u96f6\u552e\u548c\u9910\u996e\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6807\u7b7e\u548c\u5c3a\u5bf8\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u5728 30 \u78c5\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u670d\u52a1\u888b\u4e2d\u6709\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u78c5\u7684\u70b8\u85af\u6761\uff0c\u60a8\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u8f6c\u5411\u6742\u8d27\u5e97\uff0c\u201dBudzynski \u8865\u5145\u9053\u3002\u8fd0\u5f80\u9910\u5385\u7684\u8d85\u5927\u5305\u88f9\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u9002\u5408\u50cf Costco \u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4ed3\u50a8\u5f0f\u5546\u5e97\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u98df\u54c1\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e5f\u6fc0\u589e\u3002\u4f46\u4e1c\u6208\u65af\u57fa\u8bf4\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u51fa\u552e\u5176\u4f9b\u5e94\u54c1\u7684\u9910\u9986\u4e5f\u672a\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u5206\u53d1\u7ed9\u98df\u54c1\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u751f\u83dc\u7b49\u7269\u54c1\u7684\u5e93\u5b58\u88ab\u6d6a\u8d39\u6389\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u8868\u660e\u6574\u4e2a\u5206\u9500\u7f51\u7edc\u7f3a\u4e4f\u654f\u6377\u6027\uff0c\u201dDongoski \u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Budzynski \u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u5206\u9500\u6e20\u9053\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u673a\u6784\u98df\u54c1\u4e0a\u505a\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u54c1\u724c\u98df\u54c1\u4e0a\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5728\u6162\u6162\u5f00\u59cb\u6539\u53d8\u3002 \u201c\u5b83\u6b63\u5728\u6162\u6162\u5f00\u59cb\u5f97\u5230\u7ea0\u6b63\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u52a0\u901f\u7cae\u98df\u7cfb\u7edf\u91cd\u6784<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u98df\u54c1\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u552f\u4e00\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u662f\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u4eba\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u6d88\u8017\u7684\u98df\u7269\u5c31\u8d8a\u591a\u2014\u2014\u7edd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eba\u4eec\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u98df\u7269\u7c7b\u578b\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5e02\u573a\u5404\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u6f6e\u8d77\u6f6e\u843d\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5f53\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6539\u53d8\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u996e\u98df\u65f6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u5c06\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6539\u53d8\u98df\u7269\u7684\u5206\u914d\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6709\u63a5\u8fd1\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7684\u613f\u671b\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u63a5\u8fd1\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u590d\u6742\u7684\u8282\u70b9\u7f51\u7edc\u3002 Dongoski \u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\uff0c\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u524d\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u662f\u671d\u7740\u51cf\u5c11\u8282\u70b9\u548c\u7f29\u77ed\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u3002 \u201c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5e0c\u671b\u4ece\u519c\u6c11\u90a3\u91cc\u76f4\u63a5\u8d2d\u4e70\u66f4\u591a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u6162\u6162\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u3002 COVID-19 \u521a\u521a\u52a0\u5feb\u4e86\u5b83\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5728\u5f53\u5730\u8d2d\u4e70\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u6d6a\u6f2b\u548c\u7231\u56fd\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u201dDongoski \u89e3\u91ca\u9053\u3002 \u201c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u52a0\u901f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u6b21\u56de\u5230 50% \u5916\u51fa\u5c31\u9910\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u6253\u7b97\u5728\u5bb6\u91cc\u505a\u6bd4\u4ee5\u524d\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u98df\u7269\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4e5f\u5728\u7a33\u6b65\u8f6c\u5411\u66f4\u5929\u7136\u3001\u66f4\u65b0\u9c9c\u7684\u98df\u6750\uff0c\u5982\u6c34\u679c\u548c\u852c\u83dc\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Dongoski \u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6742\u8d27\u5e97\u5468\u8fb9\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u6570\u91cf\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Budzynski \u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4e60\u60ef\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u5168\u7403\u98df\u7269\u94fe\u5c06\u7ecf\u5386\u591a\u5e74\u8c03\u6574\u2014\u2014\u4e0d\u4ec5\u6765\u81ea COVID-19\uff0c\u8fd8\u6765\u81ea\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6240\u6709\u5e02\u573a\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u7684\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u8d21\u732e\u4e86 16%\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u90fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u8ba9\u5404\u56fd\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5f31\u70b9\u3002\u5404\u56fd\u4f1a\u95ee\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u8fdb\u53e3\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u98df\u54c1\u662f\u5426\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u5e94\u8be5\u589e\u52a0\u4ea7\u91cf\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002 \u201c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u8054\u5408\u914b\u957f\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3 80% \u5230 90% \u7684\u98df\u54c1\uff0c\u201dBudzynski \u89e3\u91ca\u9053\u3002 \u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u80a5\u6c83\u7684\u571f\u5730\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u5728\u5ba4\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u98df\u7269\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u548c\u56f4\u7ed5\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u5168\u56fd\u60c5\u7eea\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Budzynski 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