{"id":66772,"date":"2020-12-15T14:20:39","date_gmt":"2020-12-15T19:20:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=66772"},"modified":"2021-05-24T14:52:35","modified_gmt":"2021-05-24T18:52:35","slug":"is-supply-chain-recovery-during-a-pandemic-possible-these-experts-say-it-is","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/agrochemicals\/is-supply-chain-recovery-during-a-pandemic-possible-these-experts-say-it-is\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u671f\u95f4\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u6062\u590d\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u80fd\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e13\u5bb6\u8bf4\u8fd9\u662f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4ece\u672a\u9762\u4e34\u8fc7\u6bd4\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u3001\u66f4\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/tag\/coronavirus\/\">\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5<\/a> \u5927\u6d41\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u51b2\u51fb\u2014\u2014\u60f3\u60f3\u98d3\u98ce\u3001\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u706b\u707e\u548c\u7f51\u7edc\u653b\u51fb\u7b49\u7b49\u2014\u2014\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u6bd4\u4f60\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u66f4\u9891\u7e41\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728 COVID \u4e4b\u524d......\u5e73\u5747\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u73b0\u5728\u9884\u8ba1\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u7ebf\u4f1a\u4e2d\u65ad\u4e00\u5230\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e09\u5e74\u534a\u5230\u56db\u5e74\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u201d\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\u82cf\u73ca\u9686\u5fb7\u89e3\u91ca\u9053\u3002\u8fd9 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/mgi\/overview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u5168\u7403\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/a> \u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7279\u533a\u3002 \u201c\u6240\u4ee5\u867d\u7136\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u707e\u96be\uff0c\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u90fd\u662f\u7a81\u5982\u5176\u6765\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u4e8b\u5b9e\u662f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u9707\u64bc\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u4f5c\u7528\u662f\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u66f4\u52a0\u5173\u6ce8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u51b2\u51fb\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5728\u519c\u4e1a\u7efc\u5408\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e2d\uff0c\u8db3\u591f\u5927\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u6574\u4e2a\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f9b\u5e94\u538b\u529b\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u589e\u957f\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u3002 \u201c\u6211\u4eec\u82b1\u4e86 25 \u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u521b\u5efa\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6781\u5176\u590d\u6742\u7684\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\uff0c\u201d\u9686\u5fb7\u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u5b83\u4eec\u662f\u4e3a\u6210\u672c\u548c\u6548\u7387\u800c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5728\u6b64\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u6d77\u8fd0\u4ecd\u7136\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e0d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u822a\u8fd0\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8dcc\u5b95\u8d77\u4f0f\u51e0\u4e4e\u6c38\u65e0\u6b62\u5883\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u897f\u725b\u6d25\u90e1\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u987e\u95ee Keith Holdsworth \u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u7528\u4e8e\u5904\u7406\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\u4f53\u9762\u6a21\u578b\u2014\u2014\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bf9 95% \u5145\u6ee1\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u2014\u2014\u90fd\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6d77\u8fd0\u662f\u6700\u4e0d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0cHoldsworth \u8bf4\uff0c\u56de\u987e\u4e86 13 \u6761\u822a\u9053 <a href=\"https:\/\/en.sse.net.cn\/indices\/scfinew.jsp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4e0a\u6d77\u96c6\u88c5\u7bb1\u8fd0\u4ef7\u6307\u6570 (SCFI)<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e0e Holdsworth \u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u4f4d\u4e8e\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u897f\u725b\u6d25\u90e1\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u54a8\u8be2\u516c\u53f8 Perfection Limited \u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0cSCFI \u5728 2020 \u5e74 10 \u6708 30 \u65e5\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684 $1,600-\u52a0\u4e0a\u6bcf TEU\uff0820 \u82f1\u5c3a\u5f53\u91cf\u5355\u4f4d\uff09\u6807\u8bb0\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u5206\u4eab\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u5fb7\u73ed\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u6240\u6709\u822a\u7ebf\u90fd\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u591a\u5bb6\u627f\u8fd0\u4eba\u4e5f\u5ba3\u5e03 12 \u6708\u4e00\u822c\u8d39\u7387\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6216\u4f2a\u88c5\u6210\u8ba2\u5355\u9644\u52a0\u8d39\u672f\u8bed\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4e24\u5468\u540e\u7684 11 \u6708 16 \u65e5\uff0cPerfection Limited \u62a5\u544a\u518d\u6b21\u6253\u7834\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 $1,857.33\/TEU\u2014\u2014\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570\u3002\u81ea 2009 \u5e74\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u8f66\u9053\u90fd\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ece\u672a\u89c1\u8fc7\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Perfection Limited \u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6d77\u8fd0\u9886\u57df\u76ee\u524d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u7a7a\u95f4\u6709\u9650\u3001\u96c6\u88c5\u7bb1\u77ed\u7f3a\u3001\u6e2f\u53e3\u62e5\u5835\u548c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u201d\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u201c\u627f\u8fd0\u4eba\u4ecd\u5728\u505c\u822a\u3001\u7a7a\u7bb1\u77ed\u7f3a\u4ee5\u53ca\u8bb8\u591a\u822a\u7ebf\u4e0a\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6e2f\u53e3\u62e5\u5835\u8d39\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Holdsworth \u8bf4\uff0c\u7a7a\u7bb1\u53ef\u7528\u6027\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u626d\u66f2\u5bb9\u91cf\u5e76\u4f7f\u88c5\u8fd0\u53ef\u53d8\u6027\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u7cdf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Maersk \u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98 Soren Skou \u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u6d77\u8fd0\u8d39\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5728 2020 \u5e74\u5e95\u6062\u590d\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4f46 Holdsworth \u5df2\u7ecf\u770b\u5230\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4ece\u73b0\u5728\u5230\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002 \u201c\u6211\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u4f1a\u5728\u519c\u5386\u65b0\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002 2021 \u5e74\u7684\u519c\u5386\u65b0\u5e74\u662f 2 \u6708 12 \u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9a6c\u58eb\u57fa\u5bf9\u5176 2021 \u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4ecd\u7136\u4e50\u89c2\u3002 \u201c\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u74f6\u9888\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u201d\u65af\u79d1\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u5f6d\u535a\u7535\u89c6\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd0\u8d39\u4e00\u76f4\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u8de8\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u822a\u7ebf\u4e0a\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4e8b\u60c5\u4f1a\u5728 2021 \u5e74\u5e73\u9759\u4e0b\u6765\u5e76\u6062\u590d\u6b63\u5e38\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u9a6c\u58eb\u57fa\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5176\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u96c6\u88c5\u7bb1\u541e\u5410\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e0e\u516c\u53f8 2019 \u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u6301\u5e73\u6216\u7565\u597d\u4e00\u4e9b\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u5230 2021 \u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0e 2019 \u5e74\u6216 2019 \u5e74\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7a0d\u5fae\u597d\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u201dSkou \u5206\u4eab\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u4f60\u80fd\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fc7\u53bb\u53d1\u751f\u8fc7\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f46\u201c\u9488\u5bf9\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u7b49\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u65b9\u6cd5\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ee4\u4eba\u6ee1\u610f\uff0c\u201dSmart Supply Chains LLC \u521b\u59cb\u4eba Kumar Singh \u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u8fd9\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u662f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6b64\u7c7b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5f88\u5c11\u89c1\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u516c\u53f8\u5e94\u8be5\u77e5\u9053\u90a3\u91cc\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u51b2\u51fb\u4ee5\u53ca\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u4f46\u201c\u516c\u53f8\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u53ea\u5173\u6ce8\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u2014\u2014\u98d3\u98ce\u3001\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u5b83\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u2014\u2014\u800c\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u5173\u6ce8\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5f31\u70b9\uff0c\u201d\u6307\u51faEd Barriball\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7279\u533a\u8fd0\u8425\u5b9e\u8df5\u90e8\u95e8\u5236\u9020\u548c\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u670d\u52a1\u7ebf\u7684\u5408\u4f19\u4eba\uff0c\u201c\u4f60\u63a7\u5236\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u4f60\u5728\u54ea\u91cc\u5355\u4e00\u6765\u6e90\uff1f\u60a8\u5728\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4e2d\u54ea\u91cc\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u5230\u60a8\u5e94\u8be5\u770b\u5230\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff1f\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u968f\u7740\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u7206\u53d1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u9891\u7e41\u2026\u2026\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5f00\u5c55\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u548c\u57f9\u8bad\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u80fd\u591f\u5feb\u901f\u5b9e\u65bd\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u201d\u8f9b\u683c\u8868\u793a\u540c\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4e2d\u5207\u65ad\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u786e\u5b9e\u4e0d\u662f\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5982\u6b64\u3002 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\u201c\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u4efb\u4f55\u5730\u65b9\u5feb\u901f\u590d\u5236\u8fd9\u4e2a\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e76\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u505a\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u5c06\u5236\u9020\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u8981\u7d20\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5907\u7528\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8be5\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u7684\u4e8c\u7ea7\u6216\u4e09\u7ea7\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u5efa\u7acb\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7aef\u5230\u7aef\u5236\u9020\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Singh 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