{"id":78142,"date":"2024-12-12T15:19:31","date_gmt":"2024-12-12T20:19:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=78142"},"modified":"2024-12-17T11:05:58","modified_gmt":"2024-12-17T16:05:58","slug":"cobank-releases-2025-year-ahead-report-forces-that-will-shape-the-u-s-rural-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/cobank-releases-2025-year-ahead-report-forces-that-will-shape-the-u-s-rural-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"CoBank \u53d1\u5e03 2025 \u5e74\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a \u2013 \u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u6751\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u529b\u91cf"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u7a33\u5065\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3001\u4f4e\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u548c\u6e29\u548c\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u4ece\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 2025 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\u77e5\u8bc6\u4ea4\u6d41\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u519c\u6751\u4ea7\u4e1a\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4f7f\u5176\u539f\u672c\u5c31\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u963b\u529b\u548c\u6311\u6218\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c2025 \u5e74\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u5904\u7684\u73af\u5883\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cobank.com\/people\/experts\/rob-fox\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7f57\u5e03\u00b7\u798f\u514b\u65af<\/a>\uff0cCoBank \u77e5\u8bc6\u4ea4\u6d41\u603b\u76d1\u3002\u201c\u5f00\u653e\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4f9b\u5e94\u5bf9\u519c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u548c\u52a0\u5de5\u8005\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u6839\u636e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a 2025 \u5e74\u53ca\u4ee5\u540e\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u6311\u6218\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>CoBank 2025 \u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u5404\u5730\u519c\u6751\u793e\u533a\u519c\u4e1a\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65f6\u4ee3\u5f00\u59cb<\/h2>\n<p>\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b 2025 \u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd GDP \u589e\u957f\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a 2.5%-3.0%\uff0c\u4e0e\u76ee\u524d\u57fa\u672c\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u51fa\u53f0\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u76f8\u5f53\u6e29\u548c\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5355\u72ec\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u2014\u2014\u51cf\u7a0e\u3001\u51cf\u5c11\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4f9b\u5e94\u548c\u5bf9\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u2014\u2014\u90fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u5229\u7387\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5bf9 2025 \u5e74\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u62df\u8bae\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u5bf9\u65e0\u8bc1\u79fb\u6c11\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6bd4\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684\u66f4\u5177\u7834\u574f\u6027\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5efa\u7b51\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u7b49\u884c\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\uff1a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u56fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u7e41\u5fd9\u7684 1 \u6708<\/h2>\n<p>\u9884\u8ba1\u56fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u5728 12 \u6708 19 \u65e5\u524d\u7ed3\u675f\u7b2c 118 \u5c4a\u56fd\u4f1a\u7684\u201c\u8ddb\u811a\u9e2d\u201d\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u89e3\u51b3\u672a\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u4e8b\u52a1\u30022018 \u5e74\u519c\u4e1a\u6cd5\u6848\u5ef6\u957f\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u540e\u7684 100 \u5929\u5185\u91c7\u53d6\u96c4\u5fc3\u52c3\u52c3\u7684\u884c\u653f\u547d\u4ee4\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u7acb\u6cd5\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u5305\u62ec\u4ed6\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u7ade\u9009\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u627f\u8bfa\u53ef\u80fd\u5305\u62ec\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u9a71\u9010\u51fa\u5883\u63aa\u65bd\u548c\u79fb\u6c11\u6539\u9769\u3001\u5b9e\u65bd\u5173\u7a0e\u3001\u5ef6\u957f 2017 \u5e74\u51cf\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u53ca\u63d0\u4f9b\u76d1\u7ba1\u6551\u6d4e\u4ee5\u63a8\u7ffb\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002\u5f53\u8bae\u5458\u4eec\u4e8e 1 \u6708 3 \u65e5\u8fd4\u56de\u534e\u76db\u987f\u65f6\uff0c\u7b2c 119 \u5c4a\u56fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u6709\u4e00\u4efd\u6f2b\u957f\u800c\u8270\u5de8\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\u6e05\u5355\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u519c\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u96ea\u4e0a\u52a0\u971c<\/h2>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u5e72\u65f1\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u4f9b\u5e94\u95ee\u9898\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u77ed\u6682\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7e41\u8363\u5982\u4eca\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u9065\u8fdc\u7684\u8bb0\u5fc6\u3002\u5927\u7530\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u8f83 2022 \u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8fd1 50%\u3002\u4f46\u751f\u4ea7\u6210\u672c\u4ecd\u7136\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\uff0c\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002\u4e00\u7ebf\u5e0c\u671b\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9972\u6599\u6210\u672c\u4f4e\u4e14\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u5976\u5236\u54c1\u548c\u7272\u755c\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u901a\u5e38\u80fd\u591f\u76c8\u5229\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u79cd\u690d\u4e1a\u548c\u755c\u7267\u4e1a\u53ef\u80fd\u90fd\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u591a\u963b\u529b\u3002\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u51ed\u501f\u4e24\u9879\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae\u83b7\u80dc\uff1a\u5b9e\u65bd\u9ad8\u989d\u8fdb\u53e3\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u51cf\u5c11\u79fb\u6c11\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9a71\u9010\u65e0\u8bc1\u5c45\u6c11\u3002\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e00\u4e9b\u6709\u9650\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u96be\u4e0d\u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u63cf\u7ed8\u6210\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u8c37\u7269\u3001\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4f9b\u5e94\u548c\u751f\u7269\u71c3\u6599\uff1a\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5bf9\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u751f\u7269\u71c3\u6599\u9020\u6210\u538b\u529b<\/h2>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u5357\u7f8e\u4f5c\u7269\u4ea7\u91cf\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u5bf9 2025 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2026 \u5e74\u6216 2027 \u5e74\u624d\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u725b\u7fa4\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u7f29\u5c0f\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6491\u660e\u5e74\u8089\u725b\u548c\u80b2\u80a5\u725b\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5728\u538b\u4f4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u63a5\u8fd1\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u725b\u8089\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u5305\u88c5\u5546\u7684\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u5c06\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u7ee7\u7eed\u627f\u538b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e73\u5236\u54c1\uff1a\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a8\u52a8\u8be5\u54c1\u7c7b\u589e\u957f<\/h2>\n<p>\u5230 2026 \u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684 14T80 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u65b0\u4e73\u5236\u54c1\u52a0\u5de5\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b0\u5de5\u5382\u5c06\u4e8e 2025 \u5e74\u4e0a\u7ebf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7ea6\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5c06\u7528\u4e8e\u5976\u916a\u7c7b\u522b\u3002\u5976\u916a\u548c\u4e73\u6e05\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u9884\u671f\u6fc0\u589e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u5bf9\u4e73\u5236\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u9020\u6210\u4e0b\u884c\u538b\u529b\u3002\u91c7\u8d2d\u989d\u5916\u7684\u725b\u5976\u4f9b\u5e94\u4ee5\u586b\u8865\u65b0\u5de5\u5382\u7684\u4ea7\u80fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u30022023 \u5e74\u548c 2024 \u5e74\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u81ea 1960 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\u5e74\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u6751\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u529b\u91cf<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d85\u51fa\u65e9\u5148\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u519c\u6751\u4ea7\u4e1a\u53d7\u5230\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u8fc7\u5927\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":78143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1917,26,1848,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-abg-update-feature","category-americas","category-executive-outlook","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>CoBank Releases 2025 Year Ahead Report \u2013 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