{"id":80213,"date":"2025-09-17T11:22:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T15:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=80213"},"modified":"2025-09-16T13:23:55","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T17:23:55","slug":"food-security-is-national-security-potash-gets-ready-for-its-closeup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/plant-health\/npk\/food-security-is-national-security-potash-gets-ready-for-its-closeup\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u5c31\u662f\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\uff1a\u94be\u80a5\u5373\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u5371\u673a"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u94be\u80a5\u7ec8\u4e8e\u4e0e\u9502\u548c\u7a00\u571f\u4e00\u8d77\u5728\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u8bae\u9898\u4e0a\u5360\u6709\u4e00\u5e2d\u4e4b\u5730\u3002\u5b83\u66fe\u4e00\u5ea6\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u519c\u4e1a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\uff0c\u8fd8\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u751a\u81f3\u5b89\u5168\u6218\u7565\u3002\u5c06\u5176\u7b80\u5316\u4e3a\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u539f\u5219\uff1a\u6ca1\u6709\u94be\u80a5\uff0c\u5c31\u6ca1\u6709\u9762\u5305\u3001\u6ca1\u6709\u5927\u7c73\u3001\u6ca1\u6709\u7389\u7c73\u3002\u65e9\u5c31\u5e94\u8be5\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u5b83\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u4e86\u2014\u2014\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d77\u8dd1\u7ebf\u3002\u4ece\u73b0\u5728\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u4e0d\u518d\u53ea\u662f\u519c\u4e1a\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u652f\u67f1\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e00\u79cd\u9ed8\u9ed8\u65e0\u95fb\u7684\u77ff\u7269\u8d70\u8fdb\u805a\u5149\u706f\u4e0b<\/h2>\n<p>\u6839\u636e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/us-interior-department-proposes-adding-copper-critical-minerals-list-2025-08-25\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u8d28\u8c03\u67e5\u5c40<\/a> \u7ec8\u4e8e\u628a\u6c89\u9ed8\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u5927\u58f0\u8bf4\u4e86\u51fa\u6765\uff1a\u94be\u80a5\u5c5e\u4e8e\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u7269\u8d28\u6e05\u5355\u3002\u519c\u6c11\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u5907\u5fd8\u5f55\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u6c2f\u5316\u94be\u662f\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5f15\u64ce\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5bf9\u9502\u3001\u94b4\u548c\u7a00\u571f\u5143\u7d20\u75f4\u8ff7\u4e0d\u5df2\u3002\u94be\u80a5\u66fe\u88ab\u5f53\u4f5c\u58c1\u7eb8\u4e00\u6837\u5bf9\u5f85\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5c40\u9762\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u3002\u66fe\u7ecf\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u54c1\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u6b63\u6210\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4ece\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u6295\u5165\u5230\u5173\u952e\u8d44\u4ea7<\/h2>\n<p>\u94be\u80a5\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u80a5\u6599\u6df7\u5408\u7269\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u3002\u5b83\u4e0e\u6c2e\u548c\u78f7\u4e00\u8d77\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u201c\u4e09\u5927\u80a5\u6599\u201d\u3002\u5b83\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u690d\u7269\u7ec6\u80de\u7684\u786c\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f5c\u7269\u5ea6\u8fc7\u5e72\u65f1\u671f\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u7389\u7c73\u3001\u5927\u8c46\u3001\u6c34\u7a3b\u548c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u7b49\u4e3b\u98df\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4e30\u6536\uff0c\u8db3\u4ee5\u517b\u6d3b\u6574\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd90%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u94be\u80a5\u4f9d\u8d56\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u3002\u5728\u5e73\u9759\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fd8\u597d\u3002\u4f46\u5e73\u9759\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\u5f88\u5c11\u89c1\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e09\u5e74\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e2d\u65ad\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u5bf9\u94be\u80a5\u8fdb\u53e3\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u90fd\u66b4\u9732\u4e86\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u3002\u519c\u6c11\u65e0\u9700\u9605\u8bfb\u65b0\u95fb\u5934\u6761\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6bcf\u4e2a\u64ad\u79cd\u5b63\u8282\u90fd\u80fd\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u5feb\u901f\u6536\u7d27<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pubs.usgs.gov\/periodicals\/mcs2025\/mcs2025-potash.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u8d28\u8c03\u67e5\u5c40<\/a> \u9884\u8ba1\u6c2f\u5316\u94be\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u5c06\u4ece 2024 \u5e74\u7684 6100 \u4e07\u5428\u6500\u5347\u81f3 2025 \u5e74\u7684 6500 \u4e07\u5428\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fertilizer.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2024_ifa_short_term_outlook_report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> \u56fd\u9645\u80a5\u6599\u534f\u4f1a<\/a> \u5bf9\u6b64\u6301\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5230 2050 \u5e74\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 1.18 \u4ebf\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/potash-mine-amazon-gets-state-license-questioned-by-federal-authorities-2024-04-09\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5df4\u897f\u8fdb\u53e3\u8fd190%\u94be\u80a5\uff0c<\/a> \u4f7f\u5176\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e70\u5bb6\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5e93\u5b58\u5df2\u7ecf<a href=\"https:\/\/www.profercy.com\/domestic-potash-price-surge-and-fsu-supply-constraints-a-worry-for-china\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> \u51cf\u5c11\u4e8650\u591a\u4e07\u5428<\/a>\u63a8\u9ad8\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u800c\u5b8c\u5168\u4f9d\u8d56\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\u6b63\u5728\u7ade\u76f8 <a href=\"https:\/\/qz.com\/india\/2138312\/what-are-the-options-for-india-to-replace-russian-fertilisers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u786e\u4fdd\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u566a\u97f3\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u663e\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a\u94be\u80a5\u5982\u4eca\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u6760\u6746\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u7b49\u4e8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168<\/h2>\n<p>\u7cae\u98df\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u5e76\u975e\u4e24\u4e2a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7d27\u5bc6\u76f8\u8fde\u7684\u3002\u505c\u6b62\u65bd\u80a5\uff0c\u7cae\u98df\u51cf\u4ea7\u3001\u98df\u54c1\u6742\u8d27\u8d26\u5355\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u5e9c\u90fd\u4e0d\u613f\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u66b4\u3002\u8fd8\u8bb0\u5f972011\u5e74\u7684\u201c\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625\u201d\u5417\uff1f\u5f53\u65f6\u9762\u5305\u4ef7\u683c\u98de\u6da8\u3002\u8c37\u7269\u548c\u5316\u80a5\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u4e5f\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>20\u4e16\u7eaa70\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u540c\u6837\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/documents1.worldbank.org\/curated\/en\/252751492709642600\/pdf\/Fertilizer-issues-in-the-1970s-and-beyond.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e09\u500d<\/a>. \u7f8e\u56fd\u98df\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/chapters\/c11462\/c11462.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u98d9\u5347\u8fd120%<\/a> \u4ec5\u4ec5\u4e00\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u62b5\u5236\u8d85\u5e02\u3002\u5728\u8f83\u8d2b\u7a77\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u7269\u8d44\u77ed\u7f3a\u5982\u540c\u91cd\u9524\u822c\u731b\u70c8\u88ad\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/climateandsecurity.org\/2025\/01\/feeding-resilience-the-national-security-imperative-of-usaids-food-security-programs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8b66\u544a<\/a> \u591a\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\u6c14\u5019\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u94be\u80a5\u5c31\u50cf\u6211\u4eec\u66fe\u7ecf\u8ba4\u4e3a\u77f3\u6cb9\u4e00\u6837\uff1a\u4e00\u65e6\u4f9b\u5e94\u67af\u7aed\uff0c\u94be\u80a5\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u7834\u574f\u6574\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u66fe\u7ecf\u63a7\u5236\u7740 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ers.usda.gov\/amber-waves\/2023\/september\/global-fertilizer-market-challenged-by-russia-s-invasion-of-ukraine\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8fd140%\u7684\u51fa\u53e3<\/a>.\u8fd9\u79cd\u96c6\u4e2d\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5730\u56fe<\/h2>\n<p>\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u5728\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.europarl.europa.eu\/news\/en\/press-room\/20250515IPR28464\/parliament-approves-new-tariffs-on-russian-and-belarussian-agricultural-goods\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6b27\u6d32\u8bae\u4f1a<\/a> 2025 \u5e74\u6295\u7968\u51b3\u5b9a\u63d0\u9ad8\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u94be\u80a5\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u5230 2028 \u5e74\u5c06\u6bcf\u5428\u6c2f\u5316\u94be\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230 430 \u6b27\u5143\u3002\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u9502\u548c\u7a00\u571f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u5f00\u53d1\u91d1\u878d\u516c\u53f8\u751a\u81f3 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dfc.gov\/media\/press-releases\/dfc-announces-strategic-investment-stabilize-and-expand-food-security-africa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8d44\u52a9\u975e\u6d32\u94be\u80a5\u7684\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/a> \u4e0d\u662f\u6148\u5584\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u975e\u7684\u52a0\u84ec\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u9530\u77ff\u91cd\u9547\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u5438\u5f15\u5927\u91cf\u5316\u80a5\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u6cbf\u5cb8\u7684\u6e2f\u53e3\u4e3a\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u5317\u7f8e\u63d0\u4f9b\u94be\u80a5\uff0c\u94be\u80a5\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u62e5\u6709\u6ce2\u65af\u6e7e\u77f3\u6cb9\u66fe\u7ecf\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u6218\u7565\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u97e7\u6027\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66<\/h2>\n<p>2025\u5e746\u6708\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.czapp.com\/analyst-insights\/fertilizer-prices-continue-to-shift-on-supply-tightness-fresh-contracts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> \u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5411\u5370\u5ea6\u51fa\u552e\u94be\u80a5<\/a> \u6bcf\u5428\u6c2f\u5316\u94be\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a$349\uff0c\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u9ad8\u51fa$66\u3002\u5df4\u897f\u73b0\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728 <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indicators\/potassium_chloride_muriate_of_potash_spot_price\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$360 \u5230 $365 \u5e74\u4e2d<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u5b57\u4e0d\u4f1a\u9759\u9759\u5730\u7559\u5728\u7535\u5b50\u8868\u683c\u4e0a\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u4f1a\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u6742\u8d27\u8d26\u5355\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifpri.org\/blog\/high-fertilizer-prices-contribute-rising-global-food-security-concerns\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u56fd\u9645\u7cae\u98df\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08IFPRI\uff09<\/a> 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<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43016-021-00322-9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u957f56%<\/a>\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u80a5\u6599\u5b89\u5168\u4e0d\u662f\u53ef\u6709\u53ef\u65e0\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5173\u4e4e\u751f\u5b58\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u94be\u80a5\u4e0e\u9502\u548c\u7a00\u571f\u5e76\u9a7e\u9f50\u9a71\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5ffd\u89c6\u5b83\uff0c\u5176\u6210\u672c\u5c06\u4ece\u519c\u573a\u5230\u9910\u684c\uff0c\u518d\u5230\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e00\u800c\u8db3\u3002\u5c06\u5176\u5265\u79bb\uff1a\u6ca1\u6709\u94be\u80a5\uff0c\u5c31\u6ca1\u6709\u9762\u5305\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u5927\u7c73\uff0c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u7389\u7c73\u3002\u65e9\u5c31\u5e94\u8be5\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u5b83\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u4e86\u3002\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6311\u6218\u662f\u5c06\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u771f\u6b63\u89c6\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u94be\u80a5\u6210\u4e3a\u7126\u70b9\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u80a5\u6599\u5230\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u4e3a\u4f55\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u5982\u4eca\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6218\u7565\u529b\u91cf\uff1f<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":68710,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1917,1848,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-abg-update-feature","category-executive-outlook","category-npk"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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