{"id":9345,"date":"2006-03-15T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2006-03-15T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2006\/03\/15\/china-grain-production-strong\/"},"modified":"2019-09-16T14:01:40","modified_gmt":"2019-09-16T18:01:40","slug":"china-grain-production-strong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/china-grain-production-strong\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u5f3a\u52b2"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u5bf9\u5916\u519c\u4e1a\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5929\u6c14\u597d\u548c\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u589e\u52a0\uff0c2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u603b\u4ea7\u91cf\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7531\u4e8e\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u6fc0\u52b1\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8-FAS\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u81ea 2003 \u5e74\u79cb\u5b63\u4ee5\u6765\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4ee5\u53ca\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u8ba1\u5212\uff08\u5982\u4ef7\u683c\u652f\u6301\u3001\u51fa\u53e3\u6fc0\u52b1\u63aa\u65bd\u3001\u76f4\u63a5\u652f\u4ed8\u548c\u7a0e\u6536\u6fc0\u52b1\u63aa\u65bd\uff09\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u3002 2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7389\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a 1.34 \u4ebf\u516c\u5428\uff08MMT\uff09\uff0c\u6bd4 2004\/05 \u5e74\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0 3%\u3002 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\uff0c\u5728\u755c\u7267\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u548c\u4e59\u9187\u4ea7\u91cf\u6269\u5927\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u7389\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e3a 132 MMT\u3002 2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 97 MMT\uff08\u589e\u52a0 5%\uff09\uff0c2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7a3b\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 182 MMT\uff08\u589e\u52a0 1.5%\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u636e\u4e2d\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c2005\u5e74\u4eba\u5747\u519c\u4e1a\u7eaf\u6536\u5165\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f6.2%\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd$403\uff0c\u662f\u81ea1997\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u7387\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f30\u8ba1 2005 \u5e74\u5c0f\u9ea6\u3001\u7389\u7c73\u548c\u7a3b\u7c73\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f4e\u4e8e 2004 \u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u5927\u7c73\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4ece 2004 \u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u4fdd\u8bc1\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u5927\u7c73\u6700\u4f4e\u4ef7\u683c\u2014\u2014\u5982\u679c\u4ef7\u683c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u6307\u793a\u4e2d\u7cae\u96c6\u56e2\uff08\u8d1f\u8d23\u50a8\u5907\u7cae\u98df\u7684\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\uff09\u6216\u5176\u7701\u7ea7\u540c\u884c\u8d2d\u4e70\u5927\u7c73\u4ee5\u5e95\u4ef7\u3002\u65e9\u7c7c\uff08\u672a\u78be\u78e8\uff09\u548c\u7cb3\u7a3b\uff08\u672a\u78be\u78e8\uff09\u7684\u5e95\u4ef7\u5206\u522b\u4e3a\u6bcf\u5428 $173 \u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u6bcf\u5428 $186 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9884\u8ba1 2006 \u5e74\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u6837\u5728 2004 \u5e74\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5bf9\u519c\u7530\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u7a0e\uff0c\u5e76\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u76f4\u63a5\u5411\u519c\u6c11\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u3002\u5728 2004 \u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u5bf9\u519c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u5f81\u6536 7% \u7a0e\u3002 2004 \u5e74 3 \u6708\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u5728\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u53d6\u6d88\u7a0e\u6536\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u5404\u7701\u613f\u610f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9009\u62e9\u52a0\u5feb\u884c\u52a8\u901f\u5ea6\u3002 2006\u5e74\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u52a0\u5feb\u4e86\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e2d\u56fd\u6240\u6709\u7701\u4efd\u90fd\u5c06\u53d6\u6d88\u7a0e\u6536\u3002<\/p>\n

\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd8\u4e8e 2004 \u5e74\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u5411\u7cae\u98df\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u76f4\u63a5\u4ed8\u6b3e\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u4e5f\u5c06\u7531\u5404\u7701\u81ea\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002\u5404\u7701\u6267\u884c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u6309\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u8865\u8d34\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u6309\u4ea7\u91cf\u8865\u8d34\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7cae\u98df\u6536\u83b7<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6761\u4ef6\u5bfc\u81f4 2004 \u5e74\u548c 2005 \u5e74\u5355\u4ea7\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5728 2004 \u5e74\u548c 2005 \u5e74\u9762\u79ef\u548c\u4ea7\u91cf\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5c0f\u9ea6\u548c\u7a3b\u7c73\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u5c06\u5728 2006 \u5e74\u7565\u6709\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u800c\u8c37\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86\u7ea62005\u5e745%\u8f83\u4e0a\u5e74\uff0c\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ea7\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u652f\u6301\u8ba1\u5212\u4f7f\u4ef7\u683c\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u9ad8\u70b9\u9644\u8fd1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7389\u7c73\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u521b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7389\u7c73\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u5c0f\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8ba1\u5212\u652f\u6301\u6269\u5927\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u3002<\/p>\n

2004 \u5e74\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8 50%\uff0c2005 \u5e74\u603b\u4ea7\u91cf\u548c\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u5747\u589e\u52a0\u30022005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 97 MMT\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 5%\u3002\u5728 2004\/05 \u548c 2005\/06 \u9500\u552e\u5e74\u5ea6\uff0c\u826f\u597d\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u548c MOA \u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u652f\u6301\u8ba1\u5212\u4fc3\u6210\u4e86\u9ad8\u4ea7\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u8d28\u91cf\u4e0d\u5982\u4e0a\u5e74\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u4ea7\u533a\u4e34\u8fd1\u6536\u5272\u671f\u7684\u964d\u96e8\u8fc7\u591a\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u8d28\u91cf\u3002 2005\/06 \u5e74\u7684\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a 2280 \u4e07\u516c\u9877\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 6%\u3002<\/p>\n

2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 97.5 MMT\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1 2005 \u5e74\u4ea7\u533a\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\u8d85\u8fc7 5%\uff0c\u4f46 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 2290 \u4e07\u516c\u9877\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5e74\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5c0f\u9ea6\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u8c37\u7269\u5728\u4e0e\u852c\u83dc\u3001\u6cb9\u83dc\u548c\u68c9\u82b1\u76f8\u6bd4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u51ac\u5c0f\u9ea6\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u5360\u4e2d\u56fd\u603b\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u768490%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u4e0e\u7389\u7c73\u53cc\u719f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u636e USDA-FAS \u62a5\u544a\uff0c2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7389\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a 134 MMT\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 3%\u3002\u6709\u5229\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u4fc3\u6210\u4e86\u9ad8\u4ea7\u3002 2005\/06 \u5e74\u7389\u7c73\u9762\u79ef\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a 2620 \u4e07\u516c\u9877\u3002 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7389\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 132. 2 MMT\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u4ea7\u91cf\u5c06\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f46\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5e74\u3002\u9884\u8ba1 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7389\u7c73\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u5c06\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e 2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7a3b\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a 182 MMT\uff08\u672a\u78be\u78e8\uff09\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 1.5%\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u4e3a 2900 \u4e07\u516c\u9877\uff0c\u6bd4 2004\/05 \u5e74\u589e\u52a0 2%\u3002\u636e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u6d2a\u6c34\u548c\u53f0\u98ce\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5355\u4ea7\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u65e9\u7a3b\u4ea7\u91cf\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d 1.3% \u81f3 31.79 MMT\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9762\u79ef\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86 1%\uff1b\u52a0\u4e0a\u5355\u4ea7\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u665a\u5b63\u7a3b\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a 150 MMT\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 2%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5927\u7c73\u96f6\u552e\u4ef7\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86 6%\uff0c\u4f46 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7a3b\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 184 MMT\uff0c\u6bd4 2005\/06 \u5e74\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0 1%\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5b83\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e86\u5927\u7c73\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4f7f\u5927\u7c73\u6210\u4e3a\u5bf9\u89c4\u907f\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u519c\u6c11\u6709\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u3002\u9884\u6d4b 2006\/07 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7a3b\u7c73\u9762\u79ef\u4e3a 2920 \u4e07\u516c\u9877\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e59\u9187\u6548\u5e94<\/strong><\/p>\n

2005\/06 \u5e74\u71c3\u6599\u4e59\u9187\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u603b\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u7ea6\u4e3a 2 MMT\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7ea6 1.4 MMT \u662f\u7389\u7c73\u3002\u4e3a\u54cd\u5e94\u7b2c\u5341\u4e2a\u4e94\u5e74\u8ba1\u5212\u76ee\u6807\uff082001-2005 \u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u56db\u4e2a\u71c3\u6599\u4e59\u9187\u5de5\u5382\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5c06\u8c37\u7269\uff08\u7389\u7c73\u3001\u5c0f\u9ea6\u548c\u5927\u7c73\uff09\u52a0\u5de5\u6210\u4e59\u9187\u3002\u603b\u4ea7\u80fd\u4e3a\u6bcf\u5e74 1.02 MMT \u4e59\u9187\u3002<\/p>\n

2005\u5e74\uff0c\u4e59\u9187\u603b\u4ea7\u91cf\u8fbe\u523070\u4e07\u5428\u3002 2006 \u5e74\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u56db\u4e2a\u5de5\u5382\u90fd\u5c06\u6ee1\u8d1f\u8377\u8fd0\u8f6c\uff0c\u52a0\u5de5\u7ea6 3 MMT \u8c37\u7269\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d 2 MMT \u5c06\u662f\u7389\u7c73\u3002\u968f\u7740\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u7ee7\u7eed\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5f53\u5730\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u9700\u6c42\u5bf9\u7389\u7c73\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u6765\u8bf4\u5c06\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u592e\u548c\u7701\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u90fd\u6295\u5165\u5de8\u8d44\u652f\u6301\u71c3\u6599\u4e59\u9187\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u5a92\u4f53\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c2005 \u5e74\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u7389\u7c73\u4e59\u9187\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6bcf\u5428 $225 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8865\u8d34\u30022006 \u5e74\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u8fd9\u56db\u5bb6\u5de5\u5382\u7684\u8865\u8d34\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5428\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86 $37.5 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8865\u8d34\u51cf\u5c11\u8868\u660e\u653f\u5e9c\u6253\u7b97\u904f\u5236\u4ee5\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u71c3\u6599\u4e59\u9187\u5de5\u5382\u7684\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u63d0\u9ad8\u6548\u7387\u4ee5\u4f7f\u751f\u4ea7\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4e4b\u524d\u3002<\/p>\n

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