可持续发展 AgriBusiness Global 采访了 Dunham Trimmer 的管理合伙人、生物制品产业联盟董事会成员 Mark Trimmer。在这个播客中，特里默谈论了他公司的要点 全球生物控制报告一份长达 330 页的报告，分析了到 2029 年微生物、生化产品、宏观生物和其他生物防治市场。该报告花了一年时间完成，并于 2023 年发布，其中包含 350 个图表和图表，详细说明了市场增长。
播客成绩单：
*这是播客的部分经过编辑的文字记录。
ABG： What’s the state of the biocontrols industry overall based on your report’s findings?
公吨： This industry has been growing quite rapidly over the last decade. We find today that the total value of the global market is right at about $6.2 billion, including the plant growth regulators. If we exclude those plant growth regulators, it’s about $5 billion. When we look across the regions, there’s some distinct differences in the trajectory of the market in different regions.
In the U.S. and in Europe, the biocontrol market has largely been focused on fruits and vegetables. We’re starting to reach a transition point now where the biocontrols have reached maturity in those markets, so the growth rate is beginning to slow and plateau. I perceive that by 2030, the growth rate will probably be more similar to what we see for the traditional chemical pesticide market.
巴西则是一幅完全不同的景象。在巴西，市场在 20% 中期左右以两位数的速度高速增长。部分原因是巴西政府简化了生物制品的注册流程。
They’ve instituted other incentives for both growers and manufacturers to promote the use of biologicals and all those things that come together to allow the market to grow. The number one biggest difference over Brazil and the rest of the world, especially in the northern hemisphere, is we see widespread use of biologicals in row crops in Brazil. We haven’t seen that anywhere else yet around the world.
当我们审视欧盟时，最大的挑战是监管体系，这使得注册新的微生物产品变得极其困难。而在美国和拉丁美洲，我们看到微生物约占生物防治市场的 50% 至 60%。在欧洲，它们的含量不足15%，这与新型微生物产品在欧洲获得注册批准的难度直接相关。
There’s a lot of differences in different regions of the world. When we look at a high-level globally, we see the market growing at about 10% to 12% currently. But there are vast differences in the growth rate between Latin America and the U.S. or EU, for example.
ABG：就像您所说，巴西的增长很大程度上与政府法规有关，以及将这些产品推向市场的能力。您的报告显示非洲、印度和中国的增长情况如何？
公吨： Asia is growing quite steadily. Asia’s growth is between the growth rate we see in the U.S. and in Latin America. It’s not nearly as fast as Brazil, but we’re seeing steady growth in Southeast Asia, India, and China, with both biochemicals or plant extract-based products. There’s growth being seen within the pheromones used in many of the crops in Asia. We do also see microbials, although they don’t have quite as large a share of the market in Asia as they do in North America and Latin America.
非洲一直是一个更具挑战性的市场。但我们确实在南非、肯尼亚、埃及和摩洛哥看到了生物防治的一些真正重要的应用。您知道那些专门出口蔬菜作物和高价值观赏作物的市场。