美国农业部门的盈利能力预计将连续第三年下降。 2016 年的净现金农场收入预计为 $941 亿，比 2015 年的估计下降 13.3%。 2016年农业净收入预计为$715亿元，下降11.5%。如果实现，2016 年的农场净收入将是 2009 年以来的最低水平。
预计 2016 年现金收入将下降 $257 亿（6.8%），其中动物/动物产品收入下降 $187 亿（9.8%），农作物收入下降 $71 亿（3.7%）收据。几乎所有主要的动物专业——包括乳制品、肉类动物和家禽/鸡蛋——预计收入都将下降，饲料作物和蔬菜/瓜类也是如此，分别下降 $32 亿（5.5%）和 $15 亿（7.5%） ）， 分别。虽然整体现金收入在下降，但预计几种商品的收入比 2015 年的估计至少增加 1%，其中包括棉花，增加 $06 亿 (12.5%)。 2016 年政府直接农业计划付款预计将增加 $27 亿（24.8%）至 $135 亿，部分原因是预期的价格环境。
生产费用连续第二年下降。总生产费用预计比 2015 年减少 $101 亿（2.8%），主要是农场投入（饲料、牲畜/家禽、种子）和燃料/油的减少。
2016 年农场资产价值预计下降 2.2%，农场债务预计下降 0.8%。 2016 年农业部门股权（资产和债务的净衡量指标）预计下降 $612 亿（2.4%）。资产下降反映了农场房地产价值下降 1.5%，以及动物/动物产品库存、金融资产和机械/车辆。农业债务的下降是由非房地产债务下降（下降 4.6%）推动的，这反映了农民管理决策的变化（例如减少投入支出）以及短期商业银行贷款利率的上升，这使得债务更多昂贵的。
得到 2016年农业部门收入预测.
农业部长汤姆维尔萨克的声明
在回应农场收入预测时，农业部长汤姆维尔萨克说：
“Today’s farm income forecast underscores the unique ability of American farmers and ranchers to plan ahead and make sharp business decisions in a challenging market, as net farm income for 2015 was revised up significantly to $80.7 billion-an increase of 43 percent since the February forecast. Falling production expenses, including the price of fuel and inputs, was the largest contributor to this latest rally by farmers. Just last week, farm exports for 2016 were revised up to one of the highest levels on record, demonstrating that U.S. farmers and ranchers continue to beat expectations. Overall, farm income over the last five-year period reflects the highest average five-year period on record. Although net farm income for 2016 is forecast to decline relative to 2015, the 2014 Farm Bill has provided for a comprehensive farm safety net that will ensure financial stability for America’s farming families. Farm Bill program payments-including Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC), Price Loss Coverage (PLC), and the Margin Protection Program for Dairy (MPP)-are forecast to increase nearly 25 percent to $13.5 billion in 2016. For producers challenged by weather, disease and falling prices, we will continue to ensure the availability of a strong safety net to keep them farming or ranching.
“The estimates today also showed that debt to asset and debt to equity ratios-two key indicators of the farm economy’s health-continue to be near all-time lows. In addition to strong balance sheets, median household income for farming families remains near historic highs. In 2016, higher off-farm earnings are expected to help stabilize losses due to low commodity prices.
“The trend in strong household income reflects work of the Obama Administration since 2009 to make significant and targeted investments across the United States toward building a more robust system of production agriculture, expanding foreign markets for U.S. farm goods, bolstering local and regional food systems across the country, and creating a new bio-based economy in rural communities that today supports more than 4 million American jobs. At the same time, rural communities have been infused with billions of dollars to build schools, hospitals, and public safety headquarters, and businesses of all sizes have availed themselves of USDA’s business loans and grants to spur growth that complements the agricultural economy. Other key investments made by USDA since 2009 include new or improved high-speed internet service to 6 million Americans in rural areas, along with investments in electricity, water and wastewater, and clean power, that will continue to strengthen rural communities for generations to come.
“Outside the United States, demand for American-grown food and agricultural products remains strong. Agricultural exports have surpassed $1 trillion since 2009, besting all previous records in terms of value and volume and acting as an engine for America’s farm economy. USDA will continue to ensure American farming families have open markets and a level playing field by working to remove unfair barriers to trade and negotiating trade agreements, such as the Trans Pacific Partnership, that benefit all of agriculture.”